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Chapter 28 - [Climate Note] How Will Our Table Change by 2050?

By 2050, the food on our tables will look very different from what we know today.

Climate change is not only expected to reduce crop yields but also to affect the quality, nutrition, and price of food, with far-reaching consequences for human health.

As global temperatures rise and extreme weather events become more frequent, yields of major crops—especially wheat and corn—are projected to steadily decline.

According to the IPCC, grain prices could rise by as much as 29% by 2050, potentially worsening food insecurity in low-income countries.

Ensuring access to food will no longer be just about survival, but about maintaining the stability of entire societies.

But the changes go beyond yield.

Researchers at Columbia University have warned that climate change may increase arsenic levels in rice.

Such a shift poses a direct health risk and, over time, could contribute to cancers and developmental disorders.

Given that nearly half the world's population relies on rice as a staple, this is not a local issue but a looming global health crisis.

Nutritional imbalances are also likely to intensify.

The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation has highlighted the impact of climate change on child health, warning that by 2050, some 40 million children may suffer stunted growth, while 28 million could face acute malnutrition.

The toll will be especially severe in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa.

Climate change, in this way, shakes the lives of the most vulnerable first.

Overcoming this crisis will require a transition to sustainable food systems.

The old agricultural paradigm of pursuing ever-higher yields is hitting its limits in the face of climate disruption.

What is needed now is a transformation—dietary changes, reforms in agricultural subsidies, and innovations in farming that account for ecosystems.

According to The Guardian, shifting to sustainable food systems could generate up to $10 trillion in economic value annually while also contributing significantly to climate mitigation and biodiversity protection.

Technology and policy will both play crucial roles. A group of 153 Nobel laureates and World Food Prize winners have called for major investment in agricultural research and the development of new food distribution strategies.

Advances that improve photosynthesis, reduce dependence on fertilizers, and extend the shelf life of food may become vital tools for ensuring food security under a changing climate.

By 2050, our tables will depend on how we respond to the climate crisis.

What we choose today will determine whether the meals of tomorrow are marked by scarcity and imbalance—or whether they embody sustainable abundance for all.

To refuse change, or to create it—our time to decide is running out.

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