After coming up with this idea, Qiao Liang was first shocked by himself. He felt that he might have been overthinking. However, the more he analyzed it, the more he felt that it was possible.
There must be a deeper meaning behind Boss Pei's actions!
For a game like the Fitness Battle, the specifics of how the lucky draw system was done did not affect the game's profitability.
Players would still draw even if it was a regular lucky draw.
Since Boss Pei had so aggressively made the lucky draw system into its current state, he must have had some intentions.
Such intentions could not be seen at the moment, but Boss Pei might have predicted the reactions of the players.
Thus, he had to start from the players' reactions to truly analyze Boss Pei's intentions.
Qiao Liang immediately searched for a post on the internet regarding the lucky draw of the Fitness Battle and analyzed the different users.
He quickly found many cases.
That was because the gamers of 'Fitness Battle' seemed to have a much higher desire to do solo work than other games.
Whether it was those who were extremely lucky or those who were extremely unlucky, they were all very passionate about showing the results of the lucky draw online.
According to the analysis of traditional games with paywalls, players who knew how to spend money were generally divided into small paywalls, medium paywalls, and high paywalls. The boundaries were more vague and could be mutually modified. However, the overall boundaries were based on how much money they could spend.
However, this method of differentiation did not seem to work in the Fitness Battle.
For example, if someone charged a 100,000 yuan, left his favorite orders and refunded everything else, and only spent a little more than a 1,000 yuan in the end, would that be considered medium or high?
Such a situation was rare but it definitely existed.
Qiao Liang read many cases online and realized that there were all sorts of strange things.
For example, someone had drawn five ten consecutive draws, but the results were all blue skies and white clouds. There was only one purple item, and it was not what he wanted.
Thus, the man did not know whether to laugh or cry as he refunded everything.
If this was any other game, he might have asked the customer service for an explanation. However, since he could refund the game freely, he would come back three days later.
There were also people who drew three consecutive 10 draws. All of them were bursting with orange. At first, he had planned to choose the one with the best results to keep. The other two 10 draws would all be refunded. Now, he no longer wanted a refund and was showing off excitedly online.
There was another oddity. He had really only drawn 50 odd 10 consecutive draws. He had kept a 10 consecutive draw that had exploded by two oranges. He had refunded all the other draws. He had even proudly posted that he was the 'King of Good Deals' and suggested that everyone learn from him and make Tengda bald.
Some people even treated the lucky draw system as a test site. In any case, they could refund all of the prizes. Refunding the prizes would be equivalent to not spending any money. They could enjoy the lucky draw.
Such strange situations were never seen in other games' lucky draw systems.
Even if other gamers were to show off, there would only be two outcomes: 'Super lucky' and 'Unlucky'. Of course, the 'Super lucky' ones might be very lucky, but the 'Unlucky' ones might not be too bad either.
"Tengda's lucky draw mechanism... seems to be real?"
Qiao Liang suddenly had an idea. He listed out the difference between the traditional lucky draw model and the lucky draw model of Fitness Battle.
The 'real probability' was relative to the 'fake probability'.
It would be a huge mistake to think that the traditional lucky draw model was purely based on probability.
Qiao Liang had also consciously filled in the knowledge of game design. He knew very well that the lucky draw in the game was never a real probability but a fake probability.
Of course, the fake probability was not only for the merchants to earn money, but also to ensure the players' feelings.
This could only be understood with a relatively basic knowledge of probability.
For example, it was already very high for merchants to set a certain product to have a drop rate of 20%.
In that case, if there were enough players and the sample size was big enough, the number of players who took out this product for the first time would be about 20%. That was very understandable.
However, the probability of not even drawing five times was five 80% multiplicative, which was 0.32768. This meant that about 30% of players would not even draw five times.
On the other hand, the probability of not drawing ten times was about 80% multiplication, which was about 0.1, which was 10%.
A prop with a 20% drop rate. According to probability, 10% of players would not even draw ten times.
On the other hand, if he were to add it, the probability that he would not even draw twenty times was 1%.
If 100,000 people participated in the lucky draw, 1% would be 1,000 people.
Would they be able to accept that a thousand people would not be able to produce a drop rate of 20% even if they tried twenty times?
This obviously did not match their instincts: wouldn't something with a 20% drop rate come out after five tries?
However, probability differed from person to person. A 20% drop rate did not necessarily mean that it would be produced every five times. It could not even be guaranteed that it would be produced every ten times.
Probability could not be precise to an individual. Only when the data sample was large enough would the real probability be infinitely close to the theoretical data.
In other words, anything could happen if he drew once. However, if he drew a hundred million times, the chances of it happening would be infinitely close to twenty million.
However, those who did not know the basics of probability would not know this.
One could only imagine how much pressure it would generate if these 1,000 people failed to produce anything with a 20% drop rate.
What's more, most of them were players with high paywalls or high paywalls. If they obtained such a lucky draw experience, would they still participate in activities in the future? They would be considered good-tempered if they did not directly unload the game.
Therefore, many game manufacturers would set false probabilities in the game to prevent such situations from happening.
In other words, if a player did not get a 20% drop rate item the first time, the drop rate for the second time would be slightly higher. If it did not drop by the fifth time, 100% would be given.
That way, no matter how bad the players' luck was, there would always be a guarantee.
From this point of view, the fake probability did have the effect of protecting players.
However, the problem was that since the game developers had already made fake probabilities, they could not only protect the players' interests. They naturally had to protect their own interests.
For example, even if the drop rate was 0.1% for a very precious prop that was worth tens of thousands of yuan, if 100,000 players participated in the lucky draw, 100 lucky people would be so lucky that they would get it on their first try and 90 lucky people would get it on their second try...
It would not matter if it was a precious item that did not have a limit.
However, what if the official platform wanted to limit the number of copies to 500 or 1,000 just so that this prop could be retained?
According to this method, the people who really got the props were not the ones who charged the most, but the real Godd*mn lucky winners.
Perhaps ballers would not pay even if they charged a few thousand yuan, but someone would.
The ballers would feel unbalanced if they were selected by the Godd*mn lucky winners. That was because even if they were selected, they would definitely spend much more than the Godd*mn lucky winners.
Luck and money were not balanced.
Therefore, the game developers would often set a prerequisite. They would only be able to draw this item after accumulating the amount of money spent on XX. The more money they charged, the higher the chances of drawing it.
This was in line with most players' expectations: I only drew once, it was normal that it did not happen; it was reasonable for ballers to draw dozens of times.
However, in reality, this was all arranged by the game developers through fake probability.
In this way, the game developers would ensure that the ballers had a good sense of spending. That way, they would be able to keep their own profits and reputation.
They were sacrificing the interests of a small group of pure Godd*mn lucky winners. However, that did not matter because they did not know that they were pure Godd*mn lucky winners. They did not know that they could take out this precious item in one shot. They thought that it was normal that they did not get it.
What's more, gamers could not verify the authenticity of the data. That was because the detailed rules of the lucky draw and the data after the lucky draw were all in the hands of the game company. Gamers had no means of contacting them.
On the other hand, Boss Pei's lucky draw model was obviously a real probability. In other words, 20% meant 20%. It did not matter if a thousand people could not even draw 20 times. All they had to do was to refund all of them.
After comparing the two different lucky draw models, Qiao Liang suddenly had an idea.
"Could it be that Boss Pei wants to use this new lucky draw model to deconstruct the traditional lucky draw model? To let some players realize that the lucky draw they think is only done under the framework drawn by the game company?"
"Tengda's lucky draw is actually taking the initiative to break this framework and give gamers an absolute fair but slightly uncomfortable probability?"
"That... that's an almost impossible task!"
Qiao Liang could not help but respect Boss Pei.
Fake probability had long appeared with the lucky draw system. Some websites and APPs had even done it before many games produced the lucky draw function.
However, after so many years, very few people questioned this.
On the other hand, more and more players began to get used to it and became passionate about the lucky draw. More and more merchants developed the lucky draw that could take care of the players' feelings on the surface but was actually more convenient for them to earn money.
On the other hand, the lucky draw system was like a stable money tree to the game developers. Thus, whether it was client-side games, mobile games, or even random events, many merchants would conduct lucky draws frequently.
If someone made a profit, someone would naturally make a loss.
They would definitely not lose out if the games company liked to do lucky draws so much.
Wouldn't it be obvious who would lose out?
Boss Pei's lucky draw system was obviously going to expose this veil and tell the players the cruel truth to change this situation!
Of course, the current situation was not optimistic.
That was because most gamers did not have the relevant knowledge about game design. What's more, humans love to try their luck and take advantage of others.
Many people liked to play lucky draws. Even if you told him seriously about probability, expectations, and lucky draw, he would not listen at all. He would definitely think that he was lucky. He might even be cheated, spend a huge sum of money to take out a pile of rubbish, and still insist that he was just unlucky this time. He would definitely be able to get what he wanted next time.
Ordinary merchants would obviously try their best to tell consumers that the lucky draw was a kind of preferential activity. Players and merchants were mutually beneficial. It was very worth it to conduct a lucky draw.
At most, he would use a very small line of words to hint at the lucky draw: There are risks in the lucky draw. You have to be cautious when charging.
However, this hint would definitely be very small and most people would not take it to heart.
After this analysis, Qiao Liang came to a rather shocking conclusion.
"Isn't Boss Pei cutting off all avenues of profit for the lucky draw?"
"It might not necessarily succeed but Boss Pei is indeed working hard to contrast the other lucky draw through the lucky draw of Fitness Battle, so that everyone can see the so-called lucky draw more clearly."
"Even if not many people would appreciate it in the end, even if it would attract the crazy attacks of other companies who were hoping to earn money from the lucky draw, they would not care."
"How thoughtful!"
Qiao Liang could not help but feel emotional. Only Boss Pei would dare to do something like that!
However, most people were too slow to understand Boss Pei's intentions.
He had to come up with a video to explain the key points. He could not let Boss Pei's efforts go to waste!
The lucky draw activities of Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation seemed very conscientious, but that only appeared conscientious compared to the other blackhearted lucky draw prizes.
In fact, they were still thinking of ways to earn money from players even if they had a 70% discount!
What conscience was there to speak of compared to Tengda's actions?
Chapter 1051: I Don't Even Have the Strength to Escape!
May 19th, Saturday...
Long Yu Corporation was operating normally.
Eric and Zhao Xuming had set an example to work overtime. Naturally, the other ordinary employees did not dare to rest at home.
What's more, they were still in the midst of the money-burning war with Tengda. The employees of Long Yu Corporation were very 'enlightened'. They had all consciously come to work overtime.
In fact, there were some employees who did not have such awareness at first. However, those employees generally would not survive.
In the conference room, Zhao Xuming was happily reporting to Eric.
"Ever since our lucky draw event was released, the response from the players has been rather enthusiastic. The popularity of IOI mobile games has also been diluted!"
"Many players lost their memories on the spot. They even felt that our activities were more attractive than Tengda's 515 Gaming Festival."
"The popularity of our lucky draw event is still rising even now."
"The most important thing is that not only did we not burn too much money for the lucky draw this time, we even made some profit. It might be a 70% discount but there is still some profit margin under precise calculation!"
Zhao Xuming was obviously very proud. After all, he was the one who thought of this idea.
Lucky draw might not be a new game but it should not be easy to accurately choose the lucky draw under those circumstances, right?
He had given most of the credit to Eric but Eric would definitely not treat him badly if this succeeded. If he failed, Eric would definitely take the blame.
That was why Zhao Xuming was working even harder than usual when he reported.
Eric nodded slightly and asked, "How's Tengda doing?"
Zhao Xuming hesitated for a moment before replying, "Er... As far as I know, they're still resting normally this weekend."
"There seems to be no adjustments to the event for the 515 Games Festival."
Eric could not help but look surprised.
Boss Pei... was so confident?
Eric had thought that Boss Pei would definitely not be outdone and start a new activity. Whether it was a lucky draw or something, he would definitely try his best to surpass himself.
He had not expected Boss Pei to not do anything but rest during the weekend.
Eric pondered. According to Boss Pei's swift and decisive character, a day on Friday would be enough for him to think of a countermeasure and come online at top speed on the weekend.
However, Boss Pei did not do anything. There were only two possibilities.
The first was that Boss Pei felt that he did not need to do anything.
The second was that Boss Pei was helpless.
Did he really not have to do anything?
Eric did not think so. After all, based on the feedback on the internet, Long Yu Corporation's lucky draw was very popular. It had obviously stolen the popularity of the 515 Game Festival.
That could only be the second scenario.
Boss Pei wanted to do something, but he was helpless!
Eric could not help but smile. "As I expected."
"It might be satisfying to burn money like Boss Pei, but it would not last long. It would not be as worth it as us, who are meticulous and calculative."
Zhao Xuming seemed to understand something as his eyes widened. "You mean..."
"Tengda's funds are finally running out?"
Eric smiled. "I can't say I'm dead sure, but it's very possible."
This was in line with their previous deductions.
Tengda Corporation had invested so much money into so many projects. The remuneration of Mission and Choice had yet to be received, the smart fitness drying rack had accumulated a lot of stocks.
Boss Pei had probably used up the last huge sum of money that he could use to hold the 515 Game Festival.
Even if Boss Pei were to think of a way to raise funds now, he would definitely need some time.
That was why Boss Pei did not counterattack immediately. Instead, he let nature take its course and allowed Long Yu Corporation to snatch the popularity that they had painstakingly built up from the 515 Game Festival.
He could only launch a counterattack once the funds were gathered.
Zhao Xuming's eyes lit up.
That seemed to be the case if he analyzed it!
Of course, he could never underestimate Boss Pei.
However, the facts were increasingly in line with this bold deduction.
Suddenly, Zhao Xuming thought of something.
He had only just found out about this matter. He could report it to Eric when he was in a good mood.
"By the way, I just found out about something. I'll report it to you."
"There seems to be a lucky draw system in 'Fitness Battle'. However, this lucky draw system is only unlocked after the first chapter was opened. That's why I didn't notice it before. I only realized it after reading the discussions online."
"This lucky draw is very special. You can refund it unconditionally."
"Do you think this is Boss Pei's last resort?"
The Fitness War had only been released two days ago. It was considered relatively fast for Zhao Xuming to have realized it.
Zhao Xuming and his subordinates should have played it as a competition game. However, the problem was that Fitness Battle was not a mobile game that could be upgraded with a flick of a finger. It really needed to spend a lot of time training!
Zhao Xuming and his subordinates were all busy with the lucky draw. They had a lot of work on hand. How could they have the time to train in the Fitness Battle?
If not for the fact that there had been a lot of posts about the lucky draw results of the Fitness Combat these past two days, Zhao Xuming might not have discovered it until one or two days later.
Eric was stunned. "Unconditional refund for the lucky draw?"
"This lucky draw only draws in game props? Are there other game items? Are there physical items?"
"Other than refunds, is there anything else special?"
Zhao Xuming answered truthfully. "It's just a lucky draw system in the game. Naturally, it can only draw props from the game. There's no physical object or anything special about it. It's a very simple lucky draw system."
Eric fell into deep thought.
A moment later, he said, "Refunds are indeed better and more conscientious than us but the game's props should not be that attractive to players."
"Our lucky draw activities can recover some investment, but the lucky draw for 'Fitness Battle' would greatly reduce the income of the game."
"What's more, the Fitness Combat has already been developed. This lucky draw system might have done it earlier than us. It's probably a coincidence. It's not a big deal."
Zhao Xuming nodded immediately. "Yes, I think so too."
"I've read it carefully. The 'Fitness Battle' lucky draw system might have caused a certain amount of discussion online, but with the current public opinion, it would not pose any threat to our lucky draw at all. It would also not be able to snatch the popularity."
Eric was in a good mood. He sorted out his work and said, "Alright, everyone, after today's overtime, you don't have to come tomorrow!"
"We should rest as well since Boss Pei is resting too!"
Tengda had obviously given up. If the employees did not work, no one would cooperate even if Boss Pei wanted to cause trouble.
Since that was the case, he could keep an eye on them on Monday.
In any case, the 515 Games Festival would be ending at midnight the following Tuesday. The current popularity was maintained. Obviously, Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation had won a small victory.
Eric smiled at the thought.
This emotion obviously infected the employees below.
They were finally going to see the light after working so hard for so long!
No one dared to guarantee anything but most people firmly believed that Tengda's funds had indeed gone wrong. Boss Pei's failure to respond immediately was proof!
Even if it was not critical, it was still a good thing to boost morale.
This piece of news naturally spread under such optimism...
...
Pei Qian had just woken up at the same time.
On Thursday, he bought a Triple-A masterpiece. It was really fun, so he spent the entire Friday, including last night, playing games at home.
He had stayed up late last night to clear the game. That was why he had not woken up until noon today.
After washing up, Pei Qian reluctantly took out his cell phone to take a look.
There was nothing new.
It was especially regrettable that Assistant Xin did not send him a message.
That meant that there was no problem with Tengda's funds. There was no need for him to sell the building.
That was a little uncomfortable.
He had spent so much money on the game festival. Logically speaking, he should have spent quite quickly, right?
He continued flipping through his cell phone to check the news for the past two days.
"Hm?"
"Long Yu Corporation organized a lucky draw?"
"The special prize is a car? That works too!"
"Why didn't I think of this!"
Pei Qian felt light-headed.
He had been playing games for the past two days and had not paid much attention to the news online.
He did not have to keep an eye on the company because if anything really happened, someone would naturally call him. If no one called, everything would be fine.
He did not expect Long Yu Corporation to come up with such an event after a day of not paying attention!
Logically speaking, Pei Qian would not be interested in ordinary lucky draw events. However, this car... was indeed eye-catching!
"That's not right. Aren't these activities restricted?"
Pei Qian suddenly realized that something was amiss.
That was because in his memory, only certain companies' annual meeting prizes were cars. He had never seen such a consumer activity prize being cars.
He had seen the most valuable prizes in the lucky draw, such as laptops.
There seemed to be a rule that the highest value of the prizes could not exceed 50,000 yuan because of the sale of prizes.
The annual meeting could have a car as a prize because it was not a consumer event.
Pei Qian quickly searched and realized that it was because of the changes in the world. The relevant regulations had become much looser, from 50,000 yuan to 400,000 yuan.
In other words, Long Yu Corporation's special prize was stuck at the 400,000 mark. It was not a violation.
"F*ck! If I had known, I would have done a lucky draw!"
"You give a car, I give 10 cars. Wouldn't that be enough?"
"System, you saw it. They attacked first. It's not too much for me to fight back, right?"
"It's a pity that it's not a work day today. Even if we want to organize a lucky draw, we can only wait for Monday. Once it's developed, the 515 Game Festival will be over."
Pei Qian could not help but feel pity.
It was impossible for employees to work overtime on weekends. That was a matter of principle.
However, on further thought, it would be good to let Long Yu Corporation create a commotion for a weekend.
Pei Qian would only be able to burn more money if they fought for more popularity. Otherwise, the System would not agree.
Eric always thought that popularity was important to Boss Pei, but that was not the case.
Boss Pei did not care about popularity at all. He only cared about how to burn more money.
Then, he looked at the news from the fitness department.
Pei Qian was over the moon when he saw the gamers refund in the game. There were also those strange gamers who charged tens of thousands of yuan and only kept the equivalent of a ten draw.
"They are worth teaching!"
"These players really don't need me to worry. I don't even need to teach them to understand my intentions accurately!"
"Why are there other gamers who are too lazy to refund? Isn't it convenient that I designed the refund mechanism?"
"Work harder! You don't even have the strength to pull out the wool, and you still dare to say that you're a woolgiver?"
Pei Qian's mood improved as he watched the refunds.
At the moment, everything seemed to be going smoothly. He would think of ways to spend money after the 515 Games Festival next Tuesday. He would definitely be able to achieve something.
At that moment, a notification popped up on Aili Island's application.
The UP Master whom he had been paying special attention had uploaded a new video!
Pei Qian's expression changed.
That was because Teacher Qiao had posted the video, and the title was 'Game Discussion: The Lucky Draw'!
However, after reading the title of the game, Pei Qian relaxed a little.
Fortunately, it was not a video from the Products of the Gods series.
Judging from the title, it seemed to be a popular science video.
It shouldn't cause any harm... right?
Chapter 1052: A Huge Difference Between Two Companies' Ideals!
Translator: Atlas Studios Editor: Atlas Studios
It was still a familiar video style. However, the content of the video this time did not seem to be limited to a particular game. Instead, it was used as a science to smooth out the gameplay of 'lucky draw' in the game industry.
From the first game with the lucky draw method, to the popularity of the lucky draw in domestic games, and finally to why game designers, especially domestic designers, favored the lucky draw.
Obviously, the biggest driving force was to increase revenue!
To a certain extent, the lucky draw exploited the weakness of human psychology. It was precisely because most people liked to bet on luck and enjoyed the feeling of obtaining something without working hard that the lucky draw activities could be so popular and sustainable.
In other words, the reason why the lucky draw made people feel happy was not entirely because of how precious the prizes were. It was only one aspect; more importantly, the psychological satisfaction that the lucky draw gave people.
In other words, this was a feeling of reaping without sowing.
Using ten yuan to draw out something worth a hundred yuan was an emotional stimulation to most ordinary people. They were taking advantage of others.
Qiao Liang changed the topic. "Actually, there are many similar situations in business."
"Many merchants make use of the mentality that consumers want to reap profits without working hard and want to take advantage of others. They create activities that look very cost-effective but are actually tricking consumers."
"However, the relevant departments would be stricter when it comes to commercial activities. The punishment would be stricter when it comes to false advertising and marketing cases that induce consumption. Therefore, similar situations are rare."
"However, the game industry has gradually become a disaster zone."
"That's because games are not purely commercial activities after all. They are more inclined to cultural and entertainment activities. The value of virtual items has never been very clear. The relevant departments' regulations are relatively weak. Therefore, lucky draw activities in many games have actually become the money-making tools of game merchants. The rules of the lucky draw are also diverse and chaotic. It is difficult to guarantee the benefits of gamers after charging money..."
Qiao Liang even criticized a few games.
For example, a certain mobile game had a scandal some time ago. The official lucky draw event had all been won by a few alternate accounts that had repeatedly changed their names. Moreover, thoughtful players had discovered that these alternate accounts would definitely win once they participated in the lucky draw event.
At that point, Pei Qian heaved a long sigh of relief.
"Still alright, still alright."
"I thought Old Qiao was going to harm me again!"
"It looks like it has nothing to do with me or Longy Yu Corporation."
"Long Yu Corporation might have also done a lucky draw, but they probably wouldn't do something stupid like giving their own alternate accounts the prize. As long as their lucky draw is completely legal and compliant, Teacher Qiao's video would probably not be AOE."
Pei Qian was scared as well. Every time he saw Qiao Liang's new video, he felt like it was directed at him.
However, he was happy for less than two minutes before Qiao Liang changed the topic.
"Then, some dear daddies might ask then, if it's a legitimate and ethical lucky draw event, would there be no problem?"
"Of course not!"
"I've already said it before. The reason why the merchants are so passionate about the lucky draw is because they made use of the gamers' desire to take advantage of others and reap without sowing."
"Even if it is a lucky draw that does not involve under-the-table operations, no matter how much it looks worth, it can be summarized in one sentence: You might make a small profit, but the merchants will never make a loss!"
"That's because you have to be sure that merchants will always understand probability better than you."
"Especially the game developers, the design of the lucky draw system must be done by the company's high-level system designers. They would definitely ensure that the entire lucky draw event would be beneficial to the game company. Please remember that luck will never win against the data."
"What's more, the probability of winning the lucky draw in the game is never real. Instead, it is a fake probability with countless conditions. The results look similar but the internal operations are worlds apart."
"Players are actually participating in a game where 'expected returns are negative' and 'you will never know the real and specific rules'."
"You think that '20% drop rate' is the rule, but in fact, there are countless fine rules behind this line. They are written in the code of the lucky draw program. You have no way of knowing."
"For certain individuals, the actual profits are very high. However, if we were to average it out to everyone, it would be a game that would definitely incur losses.
"As long as the sample is big enough, from the perspective of the entire gamers, it would definitely be a loss. On the other hand, the game developers would not need to operate in secret. They would definitely profit."
"However, everyone feels that they would be the lucky one. That's why they were cheated time and time again."
Qiao Liang explained everything in the video, showing off his game and probability knowledge.
That included the difference between 'fake probability' and 'real probability' in the game, the internal logic and operation mode of 'fake probability', and so on.
The core argument was that the lucky draw was actually a disguised promotional event. In fact, it made use of people's mentality of wanting to reap without sowing. Through probability, a portion of players would bear the losses of another portion of players while the game merchants benefited from it.
No matter how much it looked like a good deal or how much it was discounted, as long as it still fit the basic characteristics of the traditional lucky draw rules, the final outcome would be that the players would suffer and the merchants would benefit.
The bullet screen comments were filled with exclamations.
"I learnt something!"
"Brothers, put your protection on the public chat!"
"As a former employee of the games industry, what Old Qiao said is true. In fact, the lucky draw is nothing more than making use of people's mentality to earn money without working hard. No matter whether you are a Godd*mn lucky winner or an unlucky player, in fact, the one who would earn in the end would be the game merchant. What's more, the real rules of the lucky draw are never purely real probabilities. Instead, they are fake probabilities that have been calculated by the system designers to ensure that most players' final results are within expectations. It's really the same sentence: You might make a small profit, but I will never make a loss!"
"Is Old Qiao going to offend all the game developers in the country? How many games are there that don't do lucky draws? Everyone knows that lucky draws earn money quickly. This is cutting off one's path to wealth!"
"After watching this video, I decisively held back my hand that wanted to draw the lucky draw. There is one thing that is right. People who like to draw the lucky draw do not like the prizes inside at all, but the feeling of drawing something good."
"Indeed, no matter how good the item is, it will only feel good at the moment you draw it. You would get sick of it after playing it for two to three days, or at most a week. However, the thought of obtaining good items from the lucky draw would always exist. Therefore, you would still not be able to control your hand when you draw the next lucky draw. Unknowingly, you would not know where to spend the money..."
"Old Qiao is really bold. He even dares to make a video that reveals the truth."
As if he had foreseen the possible reaction of the bullet screen comments, Qiao Liang changed the topic in the video. "Actually, this video was also posted out of inspiration."
"The person who really stepped forward to expose this unspoken rule is not me, but Tengda Corporation's Boss Pei!"
"Everyone knows that there are two huge hot topics in the gaming circle recently: One is a lucky draw organized by Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation. The special prize is a car that attracts a large number of players to participate. The other is Tengda Corporation's new game, 'Fitness Battle'. It uses a brand new lucky draw model and can be refunded freely."
"Now, the former's popularity is obviously higher than the latter. Many players also feel that Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation's lucky draw activities would be so heavily discounted. They would definitely be more conscientious than the Lucky draw of Fitness Battle."
"That is obviously wrong!"
"That's because the lucky draw event of Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation is actually the lucky draw event that I described previously. On the surface, the products are rich, but in reality, they are all the same."
"If you don't believe me, you can ask the ballers to show off their lucky draw records. After deducting the rubbish skins that they don't want, you can calculate the actual profits and see who earned it."
"Of course, compared to other black-hearted lucky draw events, this lucky draw might seem very conscientious. However, it's far from good compared to the lucky draw of 'Fitness Battle' !"
"That's because the lucky draw for the Fitness Combat has completely broken the original regular mode. Players can refund the game at will and only keep the content that they are satisfied with. Thus, the expected value of the lucky draw is no longer negative. While it retains the pleasant surprise brought by the lucky draw, it does not make players slaves to probability."
"Of course, all of the Virtual Items in the 'Fitness Battle' would still be profitable no matter how low the price is."
"However, what's important is not the specific price, but the concept that Tengda Corporation conveyed through the lucky draw of the Fitness Battle!"
"The lucky draw can indeed surprise and bring joy to people. That's human nature. However, more and more merchants and game companies used this mentality to turn the lucky draw into their own money-making tool. They made it normal and reasonable so that players would not realize that their interests were actually damaged."
"On the other hand, the shopping mall model of 'Fitness Battle': All props can be purchased with calorie coins. It encourages players to work out more. Even if it's a lucky draw, it can be refunded in full so that players would not be reduced to consumer machines driven by desire. It would also not use people's bad habits to accumulate wealth."
"The difference between the two is obvious!"
"On top of that, Tengda Corporation has been tirelessly sending benefits to gamers for the event at the 515 Games Festival. What's more, it's a real 'gift', not a 'discount', and not a disguised profit."
"Tengda has been working hard to create a harmonious relationship with gamers: making products that are worth the price, ensuring that you get what you pay for, not playing with complicated rules and twists, not using all sorts of unorthodox methods to deceive gamers. Instead, it is tirelessly guiding gamers to establish a healthy consumer view!"
"On the other hand, Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation went from IOI's mobile game to the lucky draw event. No matter how much profit they made, the urge to make money in their hearts is still traceable."
"This difference in ideology is the biggest gap between the two companies!"
"That car will definitely be taken away by a certain baller in the end, and this baller will definitely charge more than 100,000 yuan. After this baller draws the car, Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation will definitely make use of the topic to hype it up, using this case to prove how kind their lucky draw is."
"However, in fact, this is all part of the usual process that has been arranged: use a small portion of the godd*mn lucky winners to incite most players, and let the rest pay for it. The game company will profit from this."
"At the end of the video, I would like to remind the audience that there are risks in the lucky draw, and that you have to be cautious when charging. This is not empty talk, because as long as it is a regular lucky draw, it would definitely be an investment with negative expectations. That is not a wise move."
"If you really want to draw, you should come to 'Fitness Battle' to draw props to satisfy your cravings. After all, you can still refund the game freely. There won't be any losses!"
Chapter 1053: Tengda Secretly Changed The Probability Too?
"Old Qiao, you f*cker..."
Pei Qian nearly fainted after reading the last paragraph.
Look, look, look. Was this something a human would do?
I don't care if you explain the rules of the game's lucky draw and expose the insider information of the industry.
However, don't push the blame onto me!
Especially when Qiao Liang said 'Boss Pei is the one who really stood up to expose all of this', he pushed the blame cleanly.
At that time, no matter how much influence this video would have, everyone would think that Boss Pei was the real revealer, and Qiao Liang was just a content creator who happened to interpret it.
Wasn't this causing trouble!?
In fact, Pei Qian had not thought so much about it. He was quite envious of Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation's lucky draw.
The reason why he made it so that players could refund freely in Fitness Battle was so that gamers could refund more and spend less money.
Yet, Qiao Liang had misunderstood him!
Based on the current situation and based on his previous experience, it was useless to clarify now. That was because the gamers had already been bewitched by Qiao Liang, and the popularity of this topic was rapidly rising.
The gamers would not believe him even if he explained!
After all, Qiao Liang's reason was more reasonable and convincing than 'purely wanting to lose money'.
That was what made Pei Qian the most uncomfortable: no matter what he did, Qiao Liang always seemed to be able to give a reason that was more believable than his original motive...
Pei Qian felt that something was amiss seeing that the video was getting more and more popular.
That was because public opinion on both sides was subtly changing.
At first, many people felt that Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation had made a lot of sense with this lucky draw event. Their impression of them had changed greatly. The unhappiness they had previously showed signs of gradually losing their memories.
However, many people felt that something was amiss after watching the video.
It was said to be a lucky draw to give back to players, but according to Teacher Qiao's video, this kind of lucky draw was actually making money!
Many ballers had already started to take action and showed their statistics.
Probability was a very difficult thing to prove. That was because the probability of being calculated would be infinitely close to the real probability only when the data was large enough. If the sample was not large enough, the probability of being calculated would naturally not be accurate.
It was precisely because it was difficult to prove that many game developers were so fearless that they played all sorts of tricks.
However, the lucky draw event between Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation was huge this time. Many ballers participated in it. Therefore, when ballers showed their lucky draw records, there would still be some reference value.
The most important thing was that many people were staring at the final ownership of that car.
Teacher Qiao had already made a judgment in the video: This car would definitely not be given to ordinary players according to the lucky draw rules. There would definitely be a consumer threshold. It would only be obtained after it was fully charged.
If the final result was as Teacher Qiao predicted, it would prove that the lucky draw was a fake probability. There were indeed some rules that were not written and hidden in the code.
These were unspoken rules that many people were already used to but it would not be the same once it was pointed out.
This lottery draw was indeed more conscientious than many lucky draws. What's more, even after Qiao Liang's video was released, those who should continue to draw would not be able to achieve the effect that everyone would resist.
However, the key was that it was trending online!
Previously, many people had lost their memories because of this lucky draw event. They felt that Finger Games and Long Yu Corporation's lucky draw event was more conscientious than Tengda's. However, this video revealed a fact: this lucky draw looked conscientious, but it was actually incomparable to Tengda's sincerity!
Thus, the hot topic on the internet once again leaned towards Tengda.
The discussion of the Fitness Battle, Fully-Automated Smart Bickering Machine, and the 515 Games Festival once again gained the upper hand.
Those who originally wanted to participate in the lucky draw, fish out a few earphones or keyboards to play, after watching this video, many people dispelled their thoughts.
Instead of spending a lot of money for the illusory lucky draw with negative expectations, they might as well buy a smart fitness drying rack, charge money in the Fitness Combat, or participate in the 515 Game Festival.
At least the other side was full of sincerity!
...
Pei Qian was filled with sorrow as he watched the trend on the internet become more and more abnormal.
Wasn't this causing trouble?
It was supposed to be fine. Why did this happen all of a sudden?!
What was worse was that gamers' interest in the smart fitness drying rack seemed to be increasing rapidly after it combined with the Fitness Battle.
Qiao Liang was not the first live streamer to introduce the smart fitness drying rack. This thing was about to become a trend. Many streamers and UP Masters were experiencing it!
The sales volume of the smart fitness drying rack was also rising rapidly.
It would not work even if Pei Qian wanted it to be sold slowly because there were too many stocks in the warehouse. Upwind Logistics would also distribute the stocks automatically. Pei Qian could not interfere.
The situation might change drastically after this weekend...
Pei Qian could not sit still.
"No, I have to do something."
"All the departments are off work now. It would be too late to organize another money-burning event."
"Are there any places that I can manipulate directly..."
Pei Qian thought hard for a long time and suddenly had an idea.
He had an idea!
He immediately opened the platform for the 515 Games Day event, and then used his highest authority to modify a few of the rewards.
The event for the 515 Games Day was divided into many parts. For example, there would be random rewards for epic items, gifts for rare skins, random waivers for purchasing games, random red packets for a certain period of time, and so on.
Some of the rewards were based on probability.
Take the random waiver for example. The probability was 5%. In other words, there would be a waiver in every 20 orders.
After some thought, Pei Qian decided to double the chances.
The initial 5% chance of getting a free pass had been changed to 10%. The probability of obtaining rare items, rare skins, and red packets had also increased.
That was because he only needed to change a few numbers. Thus, he did not need to trouble the employees of the relevant departments. He could do it himself very smoothly.
Pei Qian felt more at ease after changing it.
Give more money. I hope Tengda can finish burning the funds in its hands as soon as possible. Thank you!
What's more, probability was very difficult to verify for gamers. Even if they changed it, they might not be discovered. It was low-profile enough, and the risk was naturally reduced.
In short, do your best and leave it to fate!
The weekends were the peak period for gamers to be active. Once the probability was changed, the money given out by the 515 Games Day would definitely increase.
If the situation was optimistic, there was still hope of spending all the money!
Pei Qian did not think too much about it. He decided to wait until Monday to see the situation at the office before making plans.
...
...
May 21st, Monday...
Pei Qian scrolled through his cell phone as he worriedly walked to the office.
He was looking at the sales records of the smart fitness drying rack.
Obviously, the sales of the smart fitness drying rack had skyrocketed in the past two days!
On the other hand, the income from the Fitness Battle could not be underestimated.
The smart fitness drying rack itself was a hot topic. Many gamers had already recognized its fitness effect after it was paired with the Great Fitness. Coupled with the help of many streamers and UP Masters, the sales volume could be said to be rising steadily!
Previously, a large sum of money had been accumulated as storage. However, with the rapid sale of the smart fitness drying rack and the income from the Fitness Battle, they could naturally refund it quickly.
That was bad news for Pei Qian.
However, he wondered if he could spend more money on the 515 Game Festival after changing the probability.
The two employees could not help but mutter when they saw Boss Pei walk past them.
"Boss Pei doesn't look too good today."
"Don't you know? The rumors online are going crazy. They're saying that there might be a small problem with our company's cash flow."
"Huh? How can the cash flow problem be a small problem? It must be a big problem! The company might even be in danger! Hasn't our company been operating very well? All the games are making money. How did this happen?"
"It's a lot of money, but the expenses are also huge! Think about it, the screening for 'Mission and Choice' has been extended and we haven't received any remuneration. So many projects have to be spent on. In addition, the 515 Games Festival has given out so many benefits..."
"Where did this news come from? Is it accurate?"
"These are all business secrets. How can there be accurate news? However, looking at Boss Pei's expression, it's probably not far from the truth. What's more, did you notice that Assistant Xin has been visiting Boss Pei's office frequently recently? Obviously, there's something very important. Of course, it might not be as serious as we think. With Boss Pei's face, it should not be difficult to raise some funds to tide through the crisis, but it probably would not be that easy."
"Then... what can we do?"
"What else can we do other than to work hard?"
"Why don't we reduce our expenses? Previously, I came to the company to freeload. I drank coffee and ate snacks. Our company's snacks are expensive. Even the chocolates are of the highest quality. The ones I eat every day probably cost a hundred yuan. I've decided that I won't eat any snacks in the company in the future. I won't take a taxi to reimburse myself after work. I'll take the public bus!"
"Yes, that's true. It's not much money but it's still a small sum. It's a small token of our appreciation. I won't drink coffee in the future. I'll drink plain water and advocate a healthy life!"
"Does anyone from the other departments know?"
"They definitely know. I've already seen several internal groups discussing it. The key is that this matter is quite credible. It's better to believe it than not."
"The company is already in this state, but Boss Pei is not thinking about reducing our benefits and treatment. Instead, he's thinking about how to get through this difficult situation on his own. It's really touching..."
The two of them continued working seriously after whispering to each other for a while.
In the office, Assistant Xin knocked not long after Pei Qian sat down.
"Boss Pei, the probability of 515 gaming festivals... was modified by you?"
Pei Qian nodded. "Yes, I realized that the probability of the lucky draw is a little low and that it is not strong enough. That's why I changed it. What is the current situation with our funds?"
Assistant Xin answered truthfully. "At first, we could not hold on much longer. However, this weekend, the sales of the smart fitness drying rack suddenly increased. The revenue from Fitness Battle would be transferred to the account soon. Once this sum of money arrives, the situation of the funds would be greatly relieved!"
"However... The probability of the 515 Games Festival has been changed. Our estimated expenses have increased by more than 30%."
"In that case, with our current funds, it shouldn't be a problem for us to finish the 515 Game Festival. However, I'm afraid we won't have the energy to organize new activities after that."
"Of course, you have also achieved your goal of changing the probability. Now, there are already players on the internet who have discovered the change in probability. In addition to the previous lucky draw incident, the current trend on the internet is completely on our side."
Pei Qian's mood was like a roller coaster, fluctuating wildly with Assistant Xin's report.
Pei Qian had been quite happy when he heard that the cost of the 515 Game Contest had increased by more than 30%. However, his face fell when he heard the last paragraph.
What the hell?
Had he been discovered by the gamers?
What's more, the direction of the wind has completely turned towards us?
Do you gamers have to be so sharp?! The probability of changing over the weekend was discovered in just one or two days?
Pei Qian had thought that these gamers would not notice it until the end of the 515 Games Festival.
He sighed slightly.
Forget it, so be it. He had already spent the money anyway. The popularity and reputation created might be harmful to his losses in the long term, but he could not care so much.
All in all, he had spent most of his money. Could he sell buildings now?
He had bought so many buildings previously because he had no choice but to spend money quickly. Buying buildings might be able to spend money quickly, but it would also take up the System Funds' quota and affect the final loss.
Selling a building to continue burning money would reduce the obstacles during settlement.
Pei Qian said, "Go and release some news. Find a buyer and see which building is suitable."
"We might have to continue burning money after the 515 Games Festival. We have to ensure that we have sufficient funds."
"The villa in the nameless restaurant is definitely not for sale. It would be best if we sell the Sloth Apartments that were recently bought and not many people have checked in yet. Of course, the Sloth Apartments that we have been sold can also be considered for a complete transfer without affecting the interests of the tenants."
"You can decide how to arrange it."
Assistant Xin nodded. "Alright, Boss Pei. I'll report to you at any time."
Chapter 1054: Even Gods Bleed?
Shanghai, Long Yu Corporation.
The conference room was filled with gloom.
Zhao Xuming shrunk his neck like a chicken in a slaughterhouse, trying his best to reduce his presence.
Eric, on the other hand, looked increasingly upset as he read the report.
Obviously, they already knew what had happened over the weekend.
Following Teacher Qiao's video, the trend on the internet completely changed. Players who had almost lost their memories from the lucky draw suddenly felt that Tengda's benefits were more beneficial!
This was especially so for the lucky draw model of "Fitness Battle". Not only did it have a conscience, but it also had a very educational meaning. It immediately pulled a huge gap in the thought realm!
Eric and Zhao Xuming had thought that Tengda would not retaliate since it was the weekend.
Thus, Long Yu Corporation was also on holiday on Sunday and not on full alert.
It was too late to deal with the public opinion on the internet. They could only wait for Monday to report.
"As expected of Boss Pei. It turns out that he had already arranged for a backup plan before he could relax and take a break."
"This move is simply taking drastic measures. He did not engage in a competition with us. Instead, he deconstructed our motivation for this lucky draw. This is the so-called downturn."
"However... how did he predict that we would use a lucky draw?"
Eric subconsciously glanced at Zhao Xuming.
Zhao Xuming quickly cleared his throat. "This... I think we fell into Boss Pei's trap. That's because we used most of the preferential and promotional methods for our original activities and the 515 Game Festival. Only the lucky draw method is useless."
"Boss Pei predicted that we would use the lucky draw mode, so he prepared the article in advance..."
Zhao Xuming tried to analyze it forcefully. The main language was all 'we'.
Obviously, he was the one who came up with this idea, but he definitely could not take the blame alone. Since everyone had decided together and no one had raised any objections, everyone had to take the blame together.
Eric was also very kind. He did not continue asking and changed the topic. "Alright, let's not talk about this. Boss Pei is good at scheming. We can't avoid making mistakes once in a while."
"The key question now is, how should we deal with this lucky draw?"
Teacher Qiao had already predicted in the video that the special prize for Long Yu Corporation's lucky draw, which was that car, would definitely be won by the ballers in the end. What's more, the ballers would definitely pay more than 100,000 yuan.
That was a checked move.
Now, a large number of netizens, whether they were participating or not, were all staring at who would win the special prize.
If it was really taken away by a baller who spent a lot of money, it would mean that Teacher Qiao was completely right in the video. This lucky draw was a fake probability and made money. Rare prizes could only be obtained by charging a lot of money. Ordinary players could only be accompanying them and could not get this car.
In fact, this lucky draw program of Long Yu Corporation was indeed designed this way. Teacher Qiao was right.
Thus, Long Yu Corporation was considering whether to forcefully give this award to an ordinary lucky person to prove that Teacher Qiao was wrong.
However, this way, netizens would wonder if this was a secret operation. The ballers who had charged a lot of money in the lucky draw would also be very unhappy: Why did he not get the car even though he charged the same amount of money as him?
This was awkward.
It seemed like no matter how this car was distributed, it would offend people and get them scolded!
If they followed the original plan, they would be beasts; but if they changed the plan, they would be worse than a beast.
Everyone lowered their heads in silence.
Eric sighed softly and continued. "What's worse is that Tengda seems to have secretly changed the probability of event 515 yesterday."
"There is no concrete evidence but many players guessed that the drop rate of various rare items and even cash red packets had at least doubled!"
"Tengda has a real probability. The hidden modification is to increase the drop rate; we have a fake probability..."
"As a result, the players' trust in us has greatly decreased, and their trust in Tengda has reached an unprecedented height..."
Everyone remained silent and lowered their heads.
Everyone knew how serious this matter was.
Many players on the internet were mocking them: They didn't think that Tengda would secretly change the probability!
However, the other companies would secretly change the probability and cheat people. Tengda would secretly increase the probability and give players double the benefits!
If they had to pay for the 515 event, such behavior would definitely make the players who had previously spent money unhappy. However, the event did not make the players spend money. The players who had previously received rewards could still continue to receive them. Thus, all the players were elated.
After this matter was exposed, gamers became even more passionate about Tengda's 515 Games Day!
While the money-burning war had not ended completely, Tengda's popularity and reputation were already showing signs of total victory.
Eric considered for a long time and could only answer his own question. "We should follow the original method for the car. Many people have already drawn tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands of yuan in this lucky draw. If this car is given to these people, they will not lose their mentality."
"As for the public opinion online, we can only think about it slowly after this period."
He had to choose the lesser of two evils. Relatively speaking, he still had to take into account the mentality of the ballers.
What's more, even though the popularity of this lucky draw had plummeted because of Boss Pei's downturn, it was only incomparable to Tengda. Compared to other games companies, it was still very conscientious and worth it.
Therefore, the players would not be so ruthless as to criticize them to death. As long as they avoided the limelight and did not fight Tengda to the death, some players would appreciate it.
Zhao Xuming quickly said, "That's right. We cannot be led by the nose by Boss Pei. We have to follow our own pace."
Eric glanced at him, feeling a little tired.
At that moment, Zhao Xuming received a message on his cell phone.
He confirmed it twice and then beamed with joy.
"Good news!"
"Tengda is already considering selling their building!"
Eric perked up when he heard that. "Are you sure? Is the source reliable?"
Zhao Xuming said, "It should be reliable! Tengda seems to be interested in selling the building that Sloth Apartments had just bought and renovated a while ago. They said that they did not ask for a sky-high price either. Obviously, they want to sell it quickly."
"This information has been verified multiple times. It shouldn't be fake news!"
Everyone's expressions quickly improved in the conference room.
Eric smiled as well. "Indeed, we did the right thing! Tengda's funds can't take it anymore. They have to consider selling the buildings!"
"I have to say that Tengda's funds are really abundant. It has persisted until now."
"We have to continue burning money!"
"At the very least, Tengda will not be able to compete with us until Boss Pei successfully sells the building and obtains this sum of money. We just have to create a new activity after Tengda's 515 Gaming Festival. Then, we can let Tengda take a unilateral beating and snatch back all the popularity that we lost previously!"
"We will definitely reap huge rewards if we burn money during this period!"
Everyone in the conference room beamed.
They finally saw the light of victory after persevering for so long!
Of course, Tengda had many buildings. If they sold one building at a time, they could last for a long time. There was no doubt that this money-burning war would continue for a long time.
However, this represented a signal.
After burning money for a long time, Tengda was finally unable to make ends meet.
No matter how much Tengda burned, it seemed to be able to earn it back. It was like a god that would never bleed. However, once the god bled, it meant that it could be defeated!
...
At five in the afternoon, Pei Qian prepared to knock off.
He, who was preparing to sell the building, felt refreshed, as if he could see the light at the end of the tunnel.
However, just as he walked out of the office and scanned the employees in the office, he suddenly stopped. He felt that something was amiss.
What was wrong...
Where were all the snacks on everyone's table?
Pei Qian remembered that most of the employees' tables were filled with snacks when he first arrived. They ate non-stop. Only some employees who were seriously trying to lose weight did not eat snacks. However, most of them would take low-calorie snacks or sugarless drinks.
However, everyone's desks were empty today. There were no snacks or drinks!
Pei Qian was stunned. What was happening?
Wasn't everyone hungry today?
He specially went to the pantry to take a look. Wasn't the snack area filled with snacks? There was no shortage.
What was going on?